Washington’s Case Against Chinese Models The market, created earlier this month, asked whether the U.S. government would remove public access to a …
Odds
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Finance
Kraken parent Payward leads $20M Series A in sports prediction market Onyx Odds
by shayaanby shayaanPayward, the parent company of cryptocurrency exchange Kraken, has led a $20 million Series A funding round for Onyx Odds, a prediction …
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TL;DR Kalshi Crypto says its market shows a 69% chance Bitcoin hits $50,000 before $100,000. Prediction-market odds reflect active positioning, but they …
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Finance
Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%
by shayaanby shayaanBitcoin traders have positioned for a Federal Reserve pause next week, with CME FedWatch data showing a 98.2% probability that policymakers will …
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Alex Thorn, Head of Research at Galaxy Digital, has lowered his estimate for the chances of the CLARITY Act passing in 2026 …
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Markets
Bitcoin Bottom Not In Yet? Analyst Sees Higher Odds Of Drop Below $61K
by shayaanby shayaanBitcoin’s derivatives market has yet to fully heal from a violent shakeout last October, when roughly 71,000 BTC worth around $11 billion …
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Mining
Solo Home Miner Wins $232K Bitcoin Block With a $300 Machine at 149 Million-to-1 Odds
by shayaanby shayaanKey Takeaways A solo home miner using a Canaan Avalon Nano 3S at 6.68 TH/s won Bitcoin block 951771 on May 30, …
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Iranian negotiators arrived in Doha for talks, focusing on the Strait of Hormuz and highly enriched uranium, as Pakistan and Qatar are …
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Regulation
CLARITY Act odds rise to 68% as Washington power shift clouds crypto future
by shayaanby shayaanThe likelihood that the CLARITY Act would become law has surged to approximately 68%, reflecting growing confidence that the United States might …
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Regulation
Prediction market odds on Kevin Warsh taking the Fed in 3 weeks surge
by shayaanby shayaanPrediction market traders on Kalshi pushed Kevin Warsh’s chances of becoming Federal Reserve chair sharply higher after the Department of Justice ended …