Prediction-market traders are betting that Anthropic will ship its next Claude Opus model within days. This is coming at a time when …
Odds
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The Federal Reserve is heading toward a major policy test as markets now see an 87% chance of a rate hike at …
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The argument for a Fed interest rate hike later this month is getting louder in the wake of Friday’s stellar jobs report. …
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Markets
Bitcoin back above $81,000 as hike odds fade, Zcash leads with 15% jump
by shayaanby shayaanEvery major token gained on Friday as traders cut bets on a September Federal Reserve rate increase to a coin flip, though …
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Prediction Markets Remain Skeptical of 2026 Passage Washington’s effort to establish national rules for crypto trading, custody, and market oversight now centers …
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September rate-hike odds have fallen to 38% on Polymarket after Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said cooling August inflation could persuade him …
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The real action is now centered on the Fed’s Sept. 16 federal funds rate decision. CME’s Fedwatch Tool, which turns federal funds …
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Why Galaxy Sees a One-in-Ten Chance for the Crypto Bill Odds that the CLARITY Act passes this year have fallen to 10%, …
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Why Is the CLARITY Act Priced at 21%? Polymarket traders assigned the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act a 21% chance of becoming …
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Regulation
Senate Punts Movement on Clarity Act Until September As Crypto Bill’s Polymarket Odds Wane
by shayaanby shayaanThe US Senate won’t make any further progress on crypto market-structure legislation until it returns from its recess in mid-September. On Friday, …