TL;DR Kalshi Crypto says its market shows a 69% chance Bitcoin hits $50,000 before $100,000. Prediction-market odds reflect active positioning, but they …
Odds
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Finance
Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%
by shayaanby shayaanBitcoin traders have positioned for a Federal Reserve pause next week, with CME FedWatch data showing a 98.2% probability that policymakers will …
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Alex Thorn, Head of Research at Galaxy Digital, has lowered his estimate for the chances of the CLARITY Act passing in 2026 …
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Markets
Bitcoin Bottom Not In Yet? Analyst Sees Higher Odds Of Drop Below $61K
by shayaanby shayaanBitcoin’s derivatives market has yet to fully heal from a violent shakeout last October, when roughly 71,000 BTC worth around $11 billion …
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Mining
Solo Home Miner Wins $232K Bitcoin Block With a $300 Machine at 149 Million-to-1 Odds
by shayaanby shayaanKey Takeaways A solo home miner using a Canaan Avalon Nano 3S at 6.68 TH/s won Bitcoin block 951771 on May 30, …
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Iranian negotiators arrived in Doha for talks, focusing on the Strait of Hormuz and highly enriched uranium, as Pakistan and Qatar are …
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Regulation
CLARITY Act odds rise to 68% as Washington power shift clouds crypto future
by shayaanby shayaanThe likelihood that the CLARITY Act would become law has surged to approximately 68%, reflecting growing confidence that the United States might …
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Regulation
Prediction market odds on Kevin Warsh taking the Fed in 3 weeks surge
by shayaanby shayaanPrediction market traders on Kalshi pushed Kevin Warsh’s chances of becoming Federal Reserve chair sharply higher after the Department of Justice ended …
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According to the CME Group FedWatch Tool, there is now a 99.5% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged, …
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Finance
Crypto braces for volatility as Warsh hearing nears and rate cut odds slide
by shayaanby shayaanThe cryptocurrency market is under renewed pressure amid two key developments. One is Kevin Warsh’s April 16 nomination hearing before the Senate …