Prediction

Traders are moving beyond sports bets and elections to price “unpriceable” geopolitical and policy risks that standard financial tools can’t handle. www.coindesk.com

TL;DR SEC and CFTC advance crypto and prediction market rules. Trump administration shifts to clear, industry-friendly crypto regulations. New frameworks aim to …

In brief Kalshi is facing a lawsuit in California over its resolution of a market related to the former Iranian leader. The …

Washington lawmakers are moving on multiple fronts to curb the most politically toxic corners of prediction markets after millions of dollars flowed …

The White House will review new prediction market measures proposed by the CFTC. Summary The CFTC has sent a new set of …

Arthur Hayes was wrong before. In December, the BitMEX co-founder predicted Bitcoin would hit $200,000 by March 2026. It didn’t. Bitcoin is …

Why it matters: Ryan VanGrack, Coinbase’s VP of legal and global head of litigation, is sharpening Coinbase’s challenge to state regulators, saying …

Ryan VanGrack says states are misrepresenting federal law as they move to block prediction markets. www.coindesk.com

Prediction markets promised something elegant: put money behind beliefs, and the price converges on reality. The wisdom of crowds, sharpened by skin …

The company said it punished the MrBeast employee and another user it said tried to get away with contracts relying on inside …